GRAMBLING
TIGERSGRAM
8-8 | Road
84
FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
4-9 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
RATTLERS
100%
TIGERS
--
RATTLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Grambling)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GRAM -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)
GRAM By 1-7 points
2.7%
GRAM By 8-14 points
9.3%
FAMU By 1-7 points
0.4%
FAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Grambling
69
GRAMBLING
Florida A&M
43
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
Grambling
75
GRAMBLING
Florida A&M
68
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FAMU @ GRAM
66 - 59
Jan 12, 2026
GRAM @ FAMU
84 - 91
Mar 1, 2025
GRAM @ FAMU
68 - 73
Jan 13, 2025
FAMU @ GRAM
72 - 79
Mar 2, 2024
FAMU @ GRAM
68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.5% more
Grambling: 9.1
vs
Florida A&M: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
Grambling: 15.9
vs
Florida A&M: 14.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Grambling: 72.1%
vs
Florida A&M: 68.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Grambling: 33.0%
vs
Florida A&M: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score
69.0
84
FAMU Score
43.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 33.0
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.8 / 11.2
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.2
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 44.1
55.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 72.1
81.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 32.9
28.0 / 24.0
Steals
7.0 / 9.1
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 15.9
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -4.0
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
GRAM
FAMU
GRAM
ML
55%
16-13
68%
21-10
71%
17-7
68%
17-8
ATS
48%
14-15
61%
19-12
71%
17-7
68%
17-8
TTL
76%
22-7
58%
18-13
100%
24-0
100%
25-0
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