JACKSON STATE
TIGERSJKST
3-12 | Road
91
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
8-8 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
TIGERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AAMU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
JKST By 1-7 points
9.3%
JKST By 8-14 points
2.7%
AAMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
AAMU By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Jackson State
58
JACKSON STATE
Alabama A&M
69
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Jackson State
65
JACKSON STATE
Alabama A&M
72
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.0
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u140.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
JKST @ AAMU
91 - 100
Jan 13, 2025
AAMU @ JKST
93 - 103
Jan 13, 2024
JKST @ AAMU
75 - 67
Jan 9, 2023
AAMU @ JKST
64 - 72
Jan 10, 2022
JKST @ AAMU
58 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Alabama A&M: 37.6
vs
Jackson State: 33.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Alabama A&M: 43.4%
vs
Jackson State: 41.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+13.4% more
Jackson State: 14.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.5%
Jackson State: 79.9%
vs
Alabama A&M: 69.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JKST Score
58.0
91
AAMU Score
69.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.4 / 32.0
32.0 / 31.0
Assists
12.4 / 12.2
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.2
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 41.1
52.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 79.9
79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 33.6
43.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 14.3
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +4.2
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
JKST
AAMU
JKST
ML
55%
16-13
77%
24-7
67%
16-8
73%
19-7
ATS
55%
16-13
77%
24-7
67%
16-8
73%
19-7
TTL
66%
19-10
58%
18-13
100%
24-0
100%
26-0
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