ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
6-10 | Road
61
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
7-9 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAPB -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
UAPB By 1-7 points
27.4%
UAPB By 8-14 points
21.6%
PV By 1-7 points
20.1%
PV By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
96
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Prairie View A&M
92
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
68
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Prairie View A&M
72
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
PV @ UAPB
82 - 84
Jan 12, 2026
UAPB @ PV
61 - 73
Feb 22, 2025
UAPB @ PV
75 - 64
Jan 13, 2025
PV @ UAPB
75 - 64
Feb 24, 2024
PV @ UAPB
59 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+37.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 20.4
vs
Prairie View A&M: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+18.3% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 38.2
vs
Prairie View A&M: 31.2
Steals (L5)
+8.1% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 7.7
vs
Prairie View A&M: 7.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 42.4%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 35.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score
96.0
61
PV Score
92.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 42.4
40.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.7 / 20.4
15.0 / 7.0
Blocks
6.0 / 2.5
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 50.4
43.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 75.7
61.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 38.2
42.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.7
7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.6
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
UAPB
PV
UAPB
ML
59%
20-14
74%
23-8
68%
21-10
73%
19-7
ATS
56%
19-15
73%
22-8-1
68%
21-10
73%
19-7
TTL
50%
17-17
68%
21-10
100%
31-0
100%
26-0
