Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Tigers MVSU @ TXSO

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-16  |  Road

51
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 8:00 PM ET
H&PE Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

2-12  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-49.0
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +49.0 points (Texas Southern)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 TigersTXSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

0.0%

Tigers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TXSO -49.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TXSO)

MVSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

TXSO By 1-7 points

0.0%

TXSO By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
48
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
97
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
60
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
75
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 TXSO @ MVSU 71 - 72
Jan 12, 2026 MVSU @ TXSO 51 - 84
Feb 22, 2025 MVSU @ TXSO 38 - 79
Jan 13, 2025 TXSO @ MVSU 82 - 53
Feb 24, 2024 TXSO @ MVSU 73 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.5% more
Texas Southern: 3.8 vs Mississippi Valley State: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Texas Southern: 76.8% vs Mississippi Valley State: 71.2%
Assists (L5) +27.1% more
Mississippi Valley State: 12.6 vs Texas Southern: 9.2
Turnovers (L5) +16.2% more
Mississippi Valley State: 17.1 vs Texas Southern: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 48.0 51
TXSO Score 97.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.3 / 32.5 52.0 / 30.0
Assists 9.2 / 12.6 23.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.6 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 41.0 50.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 71.2 75.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 31.9 36.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.4 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 17.1 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
TXSO Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
MVSU
TXSO
MVSU
ML
64% 18-10
91% 30-3
71% 17-7
75% 18-6
ATS
61% 17-11
82% 27-6
71% 17-7
75% 18-6
TTL
71% 20-8
58% 19-14
100% 24-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago
Tigers Lock Up Broadcast Duo Dan Dickerson and Jason Benetti wit…
yahoo 2 weeks ago
Kansas vs. Missouri: Border War Revival Set for Friday Night Und…
si 4 weeks ago