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DALLAS

STARSDAL

26-10-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 10:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

19-15-10  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Oettinger None-None 1.00 0.960 --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 2.05 0.882 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.05
0.960 Ldr Save % 0.882
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
STARS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Kings Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
DALLAS
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 12, 2026 DAL @ LA 3 - 1
Dec 15, 2025 LA @ DAL 1 - 4
Oct 23, 2025 LA @ DAL 3 - 2
Feb 28, 2025 LA @ DAL 2 - 6
Feb 7, 2025 DAL @ LA 4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +11.6%
Los Angeles: 23.3% vs Dallas: 11.8%
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.5% more
Los Angeles: 28.2 vs Dallas: 25.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 4.0 3
LA Score 3.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.8 / 13.0 12.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 49.5 / 49.2 43.6 / 56.4
Hits 18.1 / 17.2 24.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 23.3 / 11.8 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.2 / 25.8 25.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 4.6 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
DAL
LA
DAL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
100% 3-0
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
100% 3-0
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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