VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
20-11-12 | Road
7
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
23-18-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carl Lindbom
#30 | G@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Lindbom | None-None | 2.00 | 0.900 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 6.12 | 0.806 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
6.12
0.900 Ldr
Save %
0.806
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
SHARKS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
VGK @ SJ
7 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
SJ @ VGK
2 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
SJ @ VGK
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
VGK @ SJ
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2025
SJ @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+25.0%
San Jose: 46.5%
vs
Vegas: 21.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.0% more
San Jose: 28.7
vs
Vegas: 25.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.4% more
San Jose: 14.8
vs
Vegas: 13.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.6%
San Jose: 50.0%
vs
Vegas: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.0
7
SJ Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 13.4
14.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.0 / 43.3
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
20.6 / 23.2
21.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
46.5 / 21.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 25.2
20.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 6.0
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
VGK
SJ
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
