NORTHWESTERN
WILDCATSNU
8-7 | Road
75
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
8-8 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
WILDCATS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Northwestern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)
NU By 1-7 points
25.3%
NU By 8-14 points
26.2%
RUTG By 1-7 points
13.7%
RUTG By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Northwestern
70
NORTHWESTERN
Rutgers
62
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Northwestern
65
NORTHWESTERN
Rutgers
68
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
NU @ RUTG
75 - 77
Jan 29, 2025
RUTG @ NU
79 - 72
Feb 15, 2024
NU @ RUTG
60 - 63
Mar 5, 2023
NU @ RUTG
65 - 53
Jan 11, 2023
RUTG @ NU
65 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+45.1% more
Northwestern: 17.2
vs
Rutgers: 9.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Northwestern: 77.9%
vs
Rutgers: 65.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Northwestern: 43.9%
vs
Rutgers: 38.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+40.6% more
Rutgers: 9.0
vs
Northwestern: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NU Score
70.0
75
RUTG Score
62.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 25.8
32.0 / 33.0
Assists
9.5 / 17.2
14.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.1
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 43.9
41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 77.9
70.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 28.6
47.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.8 / 6.9
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 6.4
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NU
Advantage
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NU
16-16-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.0
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
NU
RUTG
NU
ML
53%
18-16
47%
16-18
70%
23-10
68%
23-11
ATS
68%
23-11
50%
17-17
70%
23-10
68%
23-11
TTL
53%
18-16
53%
18-16
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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