UAB
BLAZERSUAB
10-6 | Road
87
EAST CAROLINA
PIRATESECU
5-10 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
100%
PIRATES
0%
BLAZERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (East Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ECU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)
UAB By 1-7 points
4.8%
UAB By 8-14 points
1.1%
ECU By 1-7 points
15.3%
ECU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
70
UAB
East Carolina
85
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
UAB
69
UAB
East Carolina
78
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ECU @ UAB
83 - 90
Jan 11, 2026
UAB @ ECU
87 - 85
Mar 14, 2025
ECU @ UAB
77 - 94
Feb 11, 2025
UAB @ ECU
75 - 82
Jan 20, 2024
ECU @ UAB
61 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.0% more
East Carolina: 4.7
vs
UAB: 2.9
Turnovers (L5)
+32.2% more
East Carolina: 12.0
vs
UAB: 9.1
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
UAB: 13.3
vs
East Carolina: 11.2
Rebounding (L5)
+13.5% more
UAB: 40.6
vs
East Carolina: 35.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
70.0
87
ECU Score
85.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.2 / 32.6
36.0 / 23.0
Assists
11.2 / 13.3
16.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.9
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 42.8
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
64.4 / 70.7
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 40.6
47.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.3
3.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 9.1
17.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
ECU
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
ECU
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
UAB
ECU
UAB
ML
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
55%
17-14
41%
13-19
ATS
52%
16-15
56%
18-14
55%
17-14
41%
13-19
TTL
61%
19-12
69%
22-10
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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