CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
8-8 | Road
74
RICE
OWLSRICE
7-9 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
OWLS
0%
49ERS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICE -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
CLT By 1-7 points
9.3%
CLT By 8-14 points
2.7%
RICE By 1-7 points
21.6%
RICE By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
75
CHARLOTTE
Rice
86
RICE
Simulated Score
Charlotte
68
CHARLOTTE
Rice
72
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
RICE @ CLT
70 - 80
Jan 11, 2026
CLT @ RICE
74 - 73
Mar 12, 2025
CLT @ RICE
64 - 61
Feb 8, 2025
RICE @ CLT
75 - 78
Jan 4, 2025
CLT @ RICE
55 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.7% more
Rice: 7.1
vs
Charlotte: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
Rice: 11.8
vs
Charlotte: 10.8
Assists (L5)
+42.2% more
Charlotte: 15.0
vs
Rice: 8.7
Blocks (L5)
+24.2% more
Charlotte: 5.3
vs
Rice: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLT Score
75.0
74
RICE Score
86.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.9 / 33.7
29.0 / 43.0
Assists
8.7 / 15.0
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 45.2
36.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
67.4 / 75.6
80.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 38.6
40.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.7
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 10.8
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
CLT
RICE
CLT
ML
53%
16-14
62%
21-13
53%
16-14
67%
22-11
ATS
60%
18-12
68%
23-11
53%
16-14
67%
22-11
TTL
77%
23-7
65%
22-12
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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