Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Titans CLE @ DETM

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

5-12  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sun, Jan 11 • 1:00 PM ET
Calihan Hall
View Odds Details →

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

6-9  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
TITANS
0%
VIKINGS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 TitansDETM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

34.5%

Titans Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)

CLE By 1-7 points

20.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

9.3%

DETM By 1-7 points

27.4%

DETM By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
87
CLEVELAND STATE
91
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
75
CLEVELAND STATE
68
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Titans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Titans (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Vikings (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 11, 2026 CLE @ DETM 84 - 94
Dec 6, 2025 DETM @ CLE 71 - 59
Feb 21, 2025 CLE @ DETM 73 - 65
Jan 22, 2025 DETM @ CLE 50 - 65
Feb 1, 2024 CLE @ DETM 77 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +104.2% more
Detroit Mercy: 3.4 vs Cleveland State: 1.7
Steals (L5) +9.1% more
Detroit Mercy: 5.9 vs Cleveland State: 5.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Detroit Mercy: 36.6% vs Cleveland State: 29.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Detroit Mercy: 46.4% vs Cleveland State: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 87.0 84
DETM Score 91.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 29.8 45.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.3 / 14.2 23.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.7 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 43.0 45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 80.2 84.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 37.0 49.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.4 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.8 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
CLE
DETM
CLE
ML
58% 18-13
52% 17-16
50% 15-15
64% 21-12
ATS
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
50% 15-15
64% 21-12
TTL
61% 19-12
52% 17-16
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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