CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
2-14 | Road
82
STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
4-12 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
SKYHAWKS
0%
COUGARS
--
SKYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (Stonehill)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STO -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)
CHST By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHST By 8-14 points
0.0%
STO By 1-7 points
0.0%
STO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago State
47
CHICAGO STATE
Stonehill
104
STONEHILL
Simulated Score
Chicago State
68
CHICAGO STATE
Stonehill
72
STONEHILL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks (-4)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u136.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
STO @ CHST
55 - 68
Jan 10, 2026
CHST @ STO
82 - 85
Jan 24, 2025
CHST @ STO
73 - 75
Jan 12, 2025
STO @ CHST
68 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+145.2% more
Stonehill: 3.3
vs
Chicago State: 1.4
Assists (L5)
+37.2% more
Stonehill: 12.2
vs
Chicago State: 8.9
Turnovers (L5)
+19.4% more
Stonehill: 12.3
vs
Chicago State: 10.3
Rebounding (L5)
+10.5% more
Stonehill: 34.3
vs
Chicago State: 31.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHST Score
47.0
82
STO Score
104.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 31.6
38.0 / 41.0
Assists
12.2 / 8.9
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.3 / 1.4
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 37.2
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 78.8
71.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 31.0
44.0 / 24.0
Steals
4.6 / 8.7
2.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 10.3
17.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
STO
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
STO
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STO
CHST
STO
CHST
ML
45%
15-18
75%
24-8
70%
23-10
73%
22-8
ATS
39%
13-20
69%
22-10
70%
23-10
73%
22-8
TTL
55%
18-15
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game