Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leopards @ Midshipmen LAF @ NAVY

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

4-12  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 2:00 PM ET
Alumni Hall (Navy)
View Odds Details →

NAVY

MIDSHIPMENNAVY

11-5  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
📊
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
LEOPARDS --
MIDSHIPMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (Navy)
LeopardsLAF (-3.5) 0 MidshipmenNAVY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leopards Cover

0.0%

Midshipmen Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)

LAF By 1-7 points

0.0%

LAF By 8-14 points

0.0%

NAVY By 1-7 points

0.0%

NAVY By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
58
LAFAYETTE
122
NAVY
Simulated Score
67
LAFAYETTE
71
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Midshipmen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Midshipmen Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Midshipmen (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -64.0
D
Sim Midshipmen (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 NAVY @ LAF 65 - 50
Jan 10, 2026 LAF @ NAVY 50 - 76
Feb 8, 2025 NAVY @ LAF 51 - 61
Jan 5, 2025 LAF @ NAVY 70 - 71
Feb 28, 2024 LAF @ NAVY 58 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +53.0% more
Navy: 7.5 vs Lafayette: 4.9
Blocks (L5) +44.1% more
Navy: 3.8 vs Lafayette: 2.6
Turnovers (L5) +41.3% more
Navy: 11.7 vs Lafayette: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5) +19.6%
Navy: 79.5% vs Lafayette: 59.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAF Score 58.0 50
NAVY Score 122.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 30.1 43.0 / 25.0
Assists 16.5 / 15.5 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 47.1 53.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 79.5 / 59.9 48.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 32.0 41.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.5 / 4.9 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 8.3 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NAVY Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NAVY Advantage
20-11-1 (64.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
LAF
NAVY
LAF
ML
79% 26-7
53% 17-15
55% 18-15
59% 19-13
ATS
73% 24-9
56% 18-14
55% 18-15
59% 19-13
TTL
73% 24-9
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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