ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
7-9 | Road
91
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
6-10 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
TERRIERS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
ARMY By 1-7 points
18.6%
ARMY By 8-14 points
8.0%
BU By 1-7 points
27.2%
BU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
80
ARMY
Boston University
85
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Army
68
ARMY
Boston University
72
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
BU @ ARMY
85 - 68
Jan 10, 2026
ARMY @ BU
91 - 100
Jan 18, 2025
BU @ ARMY
62 - 68
Jan 5, 2025
ARMY @ BU
63 - 71
Feb 14, 2024
BU @ ARMY
50 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+148.6% more
Boston University: 2.8
vs
Army: 1.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.6%
Boston University: 71.5%
vs
Army: 60.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Boston University: 42.8%
vs
Army: 36.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Boston University: 48.5%
vs
Army: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
80.0
91
BU Score
85.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 36.5
65.0 / 47.0
Assists
14.4 / 17.1
22.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 42.5
67.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 60.9
81.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 39.7
29.0 / 25.0
Steals
3.6 / 3.8
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 10.1
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
ARMY
BU
ARMY
ML
68%
23-11
44%
14-18
62%
21-13
50%
16-16
ATS
62%
21-13
44%
14-18
62%
21-13
50%
16-16
TTL
65%
22-12
81%
26-6
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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