FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
5-11 | Road
55
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
6-10 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
CHARGERS
100%
KNIGHTS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FDU -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
FDU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FDU By 8-14 points
0.1%
NHVN By 1-7 points
0.0%
NHVN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
99
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
New Haven
55
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
74
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
New Haven
78
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knights (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
NHVN @ FDU
84 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
FDU @ NHVN
55 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.0% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 35.1
vs
New Haven: 30.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.4%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 72.8%
vs
New Haven: 59.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 41.8%
vs
New Haven: 39.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 31.1%
vs
New Haven: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
99.0
55
NHVN Score
55.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 31.1
36.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.7
16.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.4
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.7 / 41.8
55.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
59.4 / 72.8
54.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 35.1
34.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.6 / 4.5
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.4
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NHVN
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
FDU
NHVN
FDU
ML
71%
22-9
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
ATS
74%
23-8
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
TTL
42%
13-18
58%
18-13
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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