BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
14-3 | Road
78
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
8-8 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BRUINS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Drake)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)
BEL By 1-7 points
21.6%
BEL By 8-14 points
10.7%
DRKE By 1-7 points
27.2%
DRKE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Belmont
72
BELMONT
Drake
75
DRAKE
Simulated Score
Belmont
71
BELMONT
Drake
76
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
DRKE @ BEL
100 - 79
Feb 3, 2026
DRKE @ BEL
90 - 103
Jan 10, 2026
BEL @ DRKE
78 - 76
Mar 8, 2025
BEL @ DRKE
50 - 57
Dec 29, 2024
BEL @ DRKE
46 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.5% more
Drake: 6.6
vs
Belmont: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+49.1% more
Belmont: 3.9
vs
Drake: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Belmont: 16.8
vs
Drake: 12.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.7%
Belmont: 54.7%
vs
Drake: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BEL Score
72.0
78
DRKE Score
75.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 41.2
45.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.7 / 16.8
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 54.7
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
59.2 / 61.0
64.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 34.7
33.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.0
6.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.2
17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
BEL
DRKE
BEL
ML
59%
20-14
47%
15-17
38%
13-21
62%
20-12
ATS
85%
29-5
56%
18-14
38%
13-21
62%
20-12
TTL
56%
19-15
44%
14-18
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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