Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Cougars HAMP @ COFC

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

8-9  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 5:00 PM ET
TD Arena
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON

COUGARSCOFC

10-6  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
PIRATES --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Charleston)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 CougarsCOFC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

0.0%

Cougars Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)

HAMP By 1-7 points

0.0%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.0%

COFC By 1-7 points

0.4%

COFC By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
55
HAMPTON
89
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
69
HAMPTON
82
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (-9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 COFC @ HAMP 85 - 71
Jan 10, 2026 HAMP @ COFC 70 - 74
Jan 2, 2025 HAMP @ COFC 67 - 94
Jan 25, 2024 COFC @ HAMP 107 - 86
Feb 11, 2023 COFC @ HAMP 83 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +76.4% more
Charleston: 14.7 vs Hampton: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +38.7% more
Charleston: 4.9 vs Hampton: 3.5
Rebounding (L5) +16.1% more
Charleston: 40.6 vs Hampton: 35.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.6%
Charleston: 32.5% vs Hampton: 23.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 55.0 70
COFC Score 89.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 23.9 32.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.7 / 8.3 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.5 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 42.4 51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 74.4 73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.6 / 35.0 28.0 / 39.0
Steals 5.1 / 6.5 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 14.3 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
COFC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
COFC Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
HAMP
COFC
HAMP
ML
66% 19-10
53% 17-15
62% 18-11
75% 24-8
ATS
59% 17-12
50% 16-16
62% 18-11
75% 24-8
TTL
68% 19-9-1
68% 21-10-1
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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