NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
12-4 | Road
69
BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
11-6 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BRAVES
0%
PANTHERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
UNI By 1-7 points
18.6%
UNI By 8-14 points
8.0%
BRAD By 1-7 points
27.2%
BRAD By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Iowa
76
NORTHERN IOWA
Bradley
81
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
Northern Iowa
71
NORTHERN IOWA
Bradley
75
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UNI @ BRAD
73 - 69
Feb 6, 2026
BRAD @ UNI
49 - 61
Jan 10, 2026
UNI @ BRAD
69 - 75
Mar 2, 2025
UNI @ BRAD
56 - 73
Feb 2, 2025
BRAD @ UNI
69 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+22.4% more
Bradley: 37.6
vs
Northern Iowa: 30.7
Steals (L5)
+18.4% more
Bradley: 7.4
vs
Northern Iowa: 6.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Bradley: 38.8%
vs
Northern Iowa: 34.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.7%
Bradley: 73.0%
vs
Northern Iowa: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNI Score
76.0
69
BRAD Score
81.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 34.7
29.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.0 / 15.0
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.5
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 44.8
43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 69.3
64.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 30.7
41.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.2
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 8.8
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
BRAD
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
UNI
BRAD
UNI
ML
65%
22-12
51%
18-17
68%
23-11
56%
19-15
ATS
59%
20-14
49%
17-18
68%
23-11
56%
19-15
TTL
68%
23-11
69%
24-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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