AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
HPU By 1-7 points
2.7%
HPU By 8-14 points
0.5%
CHSO By 1-7 points
10.7%
CHSO By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
High Point
62
HIGH POINT
Charleston Southern
80
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
High Point
71
HIGH POINT
Charleston Southern
78
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CHSO @ HPU
55 - 80
Jan 10, 2026
HPU @ CHSO
84 - 82
Feb 19, 2025
CHSO @ HPU
60 - 83
Jan 8, 2025
HPU @ CHSO
93 - 79
Feb 24, 2024
HPU @ CHSO
74 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.2% more
Charleston Southern: 11.9
vs
High Point: 9.8
Blocks (L5)
+12.4% more
Charleston Southern: 5.8
vs
High Point: 5.2
Steals (L5)
+59.6% more
High Point: 12.3
vs
Charleston Southern: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+28.8% more
High Point: 20.0
vs
Charleston Southern: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HPU Score
62.0
84
CHSO Score
80.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 39.1
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.2 / 20.0
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.2
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 54.9
44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
60.7 / 75.5
60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 40.0
43.0 / 50.0
Steals
5.0 / 12.3
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 9.8
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
HPU
CHSO
HPU
ML
43%
13-17
80%
28-7
67%
20-10
80%
28-7
ATS
50%
15-15
71%
25-10
68%
21-10
80%
28-7
TTL
50%
15-15
66%
23-12
100%
31-0
100%
35-0