CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
8-6 | Road
69
LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
7-9 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
BLUE DEVILS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Le Moyne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
CCSU By 1-7 points
13.7%
CCSU By 8-14 points
4.8%
LEM By 1-7 points
25.3%
LEM By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
57
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Le Moyne
65
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
68
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Le Moyne
72
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
LEM @ CCSU
77 - 78
Jan 10, 2026
CCSU @ LEM
69 - 59
Mar 5, 2025
LEM @ CCSU
67 - 86
Feb 27, 2025
LEM @ CCSU
75 - 84
Jan 24, 2025
CCSU @ LEM
93 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+24.5% more
Le Moyne: 36.8
vs
Central Connecticut: 29.6
Blocks (L5)
+17.9% more
Central Connecticut: 4.2
vs
Le Moyne: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.1%
Central Connecticut: 77.0%
vs
Le Moyne: 62.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.5%
Central Connecticut: 44.5%
vs
Le Moyne: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
57.0
69
LEM Score
65.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 44.5
19.0 / 18.0
Assists
13.7 / 13.2
7.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.2
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 50.8
32.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
62.9 / 77.0
88.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 29.6
36.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.0
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.5
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
LEM
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
LEM
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
CCSU
LEM
CCSU
ML
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
ATS
65%
20-11
63%
19-11
69%
22-10
57%
17-13
TTL
42%
13-18
60%
18-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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