ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
17-20-8 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
19-11-12 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.05 | 0.875 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.05
GAA
--
0.875
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
BLUES
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
STL By 1 goal
6.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
VGK By 1 goal
17.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
STL @ VGK
2 - 4
Jan 2, 2026
VGK @ STL
3 - 4
Nov 15, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 1
Jan 23, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025
STL @ VGK
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+57.7% more
Vegas: 5.6
vs
St. Louis: 3.5
Power Play % (L5)
+30.5%
Vegas: 32.3%
vs
St. Louis: 1.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.6%
St. Louis: 45.3%
vs
Vegas: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.0
2
VGK Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 15.0
9.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
43.7 / 45.3
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
24.3 / 23.8
21.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
32.3 / 1.8
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 24.4
25.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 3.5
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
STL
VGK
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points