JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
8-7 | Road
82
KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
9-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
OWLS
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kennesaw State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)
JXST By 1-7 points
24.3%
JXST By 8-14 points
13.7%
KENN By 1-7 points
26.2%
KENN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
54
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Kennesaw State
55
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
75
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Kennesaw State
78
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
KENN @ JXST
58 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
JXST @ KENN
82 - 88
Mar 8, 2025
KENN @ JXST
74 - 70
Jan 4, 2025
JXST @ KENN
71 - 83
Feb 11, 2023
JXST @ KENN
71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.4% more
Kennesaw State: 6.4
vs
Jacksonville State: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+23.2% more
Kennesaw State: 41.5
vs
Jacksonville State: 33.7
Turnovers (L5)
+15.8% more
Kennesaw State: 14.9
vs
Jacksonville State: 12.9
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Kennesaw State: 15.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
54.0
82
KENN Score
55.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 38.3
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
15.0 / 13.0
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.4 / 3.8
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 46.4
47.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 74.2
74.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 33.7
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.4
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 12.9
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
KENN
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
KENN
Advantage
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
JXST
KENN
JXST
ML
74%
25-9
50%
16-16
72%
23-9
55%
17-14
ATS
71%
24-10
62%
20-12
73%
24-9
55%
17-14
TTL
56%
19-15
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
