VMI
KEYDETSVMI
6-10 | Road
48
FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
11-5 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
100%
PALADINS
0%
KEYDETS
--
PALADINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Furman)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FUR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)
VMI By 1-7 points
8.0%
VMI By 8-14 points
2.2%
FUR By 1-7 points
20.1%
FUR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
65
VMI
Furman
77
FURMAN
Simulated Score
VMI
67
VMI
Furman
81
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Paladins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Paladins (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Paladins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
FUR @ VMI
90 - 72
Jan 10, 2026
VMI @ FUR
48 - 69
Feb 22, 2025
VMI @ FUR
71 - 75
Jan 22, 2025
FUR @ VMI
82 - 91
Feb 14, 2024
VMI @ FUR
62 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+50.6% more
Furman: 17.6
vs
VMI: 11.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.5% more
Furman: 11.0
vs
VMI: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Furman: 38.9
vs
VMI: 34.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Furman: 37.8%
vs
VMI: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
65.0
48
FUR Score
77.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 28.6
33.0 / 29.0
Assists
17.6 / 11.7
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.7
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 40.2
43.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
63.1 / 70.5
56.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 34.4
48.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.2
7.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 9.4
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
FUR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
VMI
FUR
VMI
ML
71%
25-10
53%
17-15
62%
21-13
84%
27-5
ATS
63%
22-13
50%
16-16
62%
21-13
84%
27-5
TTL
57%
20-15
62%
20-12
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
