DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
7-7 | Road
102
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
7-7 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
BIG RED
0%
BIG GREEN
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COR -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
DART By 1-7 points
1.4%
DART By 8-14 points
0.2%
COR By 1-7 points
6.8%
COR By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
77
DARTMOUTH
Cornell
98
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
69
DARTMOUTH
Cornell
78
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (-9)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o174.5
Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u174.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
COR @ DART
111 - 90
Jan 10, 2026
DART @ COR
102 - 91
Mar 15, 2025
DART @ COR
71 - 87
Feb 15, 2025
COR @ DART
49 - 88
Jan 31, 2025
DART @ COR
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+56.7% more
Cornell: 23.0
vs
Dartmouth: 14.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Cornell: 79.7%
vs
Dartmouth: 67.0%
Steals (L5)
+11.6% more
Cornell: 6.4
vs
Dartmouth: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+24.7% more
Dartmouth: 4.3
vs
Cornell: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
77.0
102
COR Score
98.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 40.8
28.0 / 47.0
Assists
23.0 / 14.7
22.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.3
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 49.7
48.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 67.0
83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 39.9
39.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.7
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 11.9
12.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
DART
COR
DART
ML
44%
12-15
62%
16-10
63%
17-10
50%
13-13
ATS
59%
16-11
65%
17-9
63%
17-10
50%
13-13
TTL
78%
21-6
88%
23-3
100%
27-0
100%
26-0
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