YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
12-2 | Road
60
PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
5-11 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Princeton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRIN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)
YALE By 1-7 points
10.7%
YALE By 8-14 points
3.3%
PRIN By 1-7 points
23.0%
PRIN By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
65
YALE
Princeton
75
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
Yale
69
YALE
Princeton
72
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PRIN @ YALE
53 - 78
Jan 10, 2026
YALE @ PRIN
60 - 76
Mar 15, 2025
PRIN @ YALE
57 - 59
Feb 15, 2025
PRIN @ YALE
57 - 84
Jan 31, 2025
YALE @ PRIN
77 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+15.8% more
Princeton: 5.1
vs
Yale: 4.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Princeton: 73.2%
vs
Yale: 70.4%
Blocks (L5)
+27.9% more
Yale: 3.2
vs
Princeton: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+26.6% more
Yale: 41.3
vs
Princeton: 30.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
65.0
60
PRIN Score
75.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 38.1
41.0 / 17.0
Assists
12.7 / 15.8
11.0 / 6.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.2
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 47.0
46.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 70.4
91.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 41.3
36.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.1 / 4.4
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.8
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
YALE
PRIN
YALE
ML
45%
13-16
48%
15-16
62%
18-11
58%
18-13
ATS
48%
14-15
65%
20-11
62%
18-11
58%
18-13
TTL
72%
21-8
61%
19-12
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
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