Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Explorers SLU @ LAS

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

14-1  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 4:00 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

5-11  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
0%
📊
EXPLORERS
100%
BILLIKENS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

38.2%

Explorers Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAS +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

SLU By 1-7 points

27.2%

SLU By 8-14 points

20.1%

LAS By 1-7 points

21.6%

LAS By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SAINT LOUIS
57
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
69
SAINT LOUIS
72
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Explorers (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 LAS @ SLU 58 - 82
Jan 10, 2026 SLU @ LAS 84 - 72
Jan 22, 2025 LAS @ SLU 52 - 64
Feb 7, 2024 SLU @ LAS 102 - 84
Jan 21, 2023 LAS @ SLU 71 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.7% more
Saint Louis: 19.4 vs La Salle: 12.5
Blocks (L5) +22.7% more
Saint Louis: 3.7 vs La Salle: 2.9
Rebounding (L5) +22.7% more
Saint Louis: 41.2 vs La Salle: 31.8
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Saint Louis: 51.1% vs La Salle: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 60.0 84
LAS Score 57.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 41.1 13.0 / 43.0
Assists 12.5 / 19.4 13.0 / 22.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.7 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 51.1 40.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 69.7 67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 41.2 30.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.9 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 10.1 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
SLU
LAS
SLU
ML
69% 22-10
70% 23-10
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
ATS
78% 25-7
73% 24-9
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
TTL
66% 21-11
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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