MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
25-13 | Road
134
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
21-18 | Home
146
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
CLE By 1-7 points
21.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
117
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
114
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
107
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
110
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u240.5
Loss
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u240.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
MIN @ CLE
134 - 146
Jan 8, 2026
CLE @ MIN
122 - 131
Feb 10, 2025
MIN @ CLE
107 - 128
Jan 18, 2025
CLE @ MIN
124 - 117
Mar 22, 2024
CLE @ MIN
91 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
Minnesota: 49.3
vs
Cleveland: 44.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Minnesota: 40.1%
vs
Cleveland: 35.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+10.4% more
Cleveland: 15.6
vs
Minnesota: 14.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.9%
Cleveland: 73.4%
vs
Minnesota: 69.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
117.0
134
CLE Score
114.0
146
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 40.1
48.0 / 50.0
Assists
30.1 / 29.1
38.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.1
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 52.0
60.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 69.5
84.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
44.7 / 49.3
31.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.7
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 14.1
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
60%
69-46
54%
63-53
56%
55-44
54%
50-43
ATS
67%
75-37-3
58%
67-49
56%
55-44
54%
50-43
TTL
59%
68-47
63%
72-43-1
100%
99-0
100%
93-0
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