Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hens @ Bulldogs DEL @ LT

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

5-10  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 3:00 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

8-7  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
BLUE HENS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
78.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Blue HensDEL (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hens Cover

15.9%

Bulldogs Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

DEL By 1-7 points

10.7%

DEL By 8-14 points

3.3%

LT By 1-7 points

23.0%

LT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
34
DELAWARE
44
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
68
DELAWARE
72
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u123.5 Loss
Proj Total: 78.0
D
Sim u123.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 LT @ DEL 81 - 38
Jan 10, 2026 DEL @ LT 68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.5% more
Louisiana Tech: 37.4 vs Delaware: 31.3
Blocks (L5) +32.5% more
Delaware: 4.9 vs Louisiana Tech: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +14.5%
Delaware: 69.9% vs Louisiana Tech: 55.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Delaware: 43.0% vs Louisiana Tech: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 34.0 68
LT Score 44.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 32.7 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.3 / 12.1 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.9 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 43.0 41.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 55.4 / 69.9 63.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 31.3 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.5 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.5 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
DEL
LT
DEL
ML
58% 19-14
45% 14-17
72% 23-9
52% 16-15
ATS
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
72% 23-9
52% 16-15
TTL
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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