AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
BISON
100%
GREYHOUNDS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
L-MD By 1-7 points
0.0%
L-MD By 8-14 points
0.1%
BUCK By 1-7 points
0.0%
BUCK By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
91
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Bucknell
47
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
68
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Bucknell
72
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
BUCK @ L-MD
62 - 67
Jan 10, 2026
L-MD @ BUCK
67 - 70
Mar 6, 2025
L-MD @ BUCK
72 - 76
Feb 26, 2025
BUCK @ L-MD
70 - 67
Jan 29, 2025
L-MD @ BUCK
67 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+23.8% more
Loyola Maryland: 38.7
vs
Bucknell: 29.4
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.2
vs
Bucknell: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+8.7% more
Loyola Maryland: 13.9
vs
Bucknell: 12.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Loyola Maryland: 33.8%
vs
Bucknell: 28.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
91.0
67
BUCK Score
47.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.0 / 33.8
27.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.7 / 13.9
15.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
37.1 / 42.1
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 72.8
75.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
29.4 / 38.7
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.1 / 5.3
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 12.1
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
L-MD
BUCK
L-MD
ML
55%
18-15
53%
17-15
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
ATS
45%
15-18
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
TTL
61%
20-13
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0