WESTERN KENTUCKY
HILLTOPPERSWKU
9-6 | Road
68
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
5-10 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
HILLTOPPERS
0%
MINERS
100%
HILLTOPPERS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Western Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WKU -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)
WKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
WKU By 8-14 points
0.3%
UTEP By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Kentucky
92
WESTERN KENTUCKY
UTEP
50
UTEP
Simulated Score
Western Kentucky
68
WESTERN KENTUCKY
UTEP
75
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hilltoppers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hilltoppers (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
UTEP @ WKU
65 - 97
Jan 10, 2026
WKU @ UTEP
68 - 56
Feb 27, 2025
WKU @ UTEP
80 - 73
Jan 30, 2025
UTEP @ WKU
74 - 78
Mar 16, 2024
UTEP @ WKU
71 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Western Kentucky: 42.4
vs
UTEP: 34.2
Blocks (L5)
+8.3% more
Western Kentucky: 3.4
vs
UTEP: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.7%
Western Kentucky: 75.3%
vs
UTEP: 71.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+28.8% more
UTEP: 11.4
vs
Western Kentucky: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WKU Score
92.0
68
UTEP Score
50.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 30.8
23.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.9 / 12.3
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.4
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 35.7
32.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 75.3
77.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 42.4
37.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.6
6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 8.8
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WKU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WKU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
WKU
UTEP
WKU
ML
70%
21-9
56%
18-14
72%
21-8
66%
21-11
ATS
57%
17-13
53%
17-15
73%
22-8
66%
21-11
TTL
60%
18-12
56%
18-14
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …
UTEP Men's Basketball Unveils 2026-27 Schedule: Mountain West De…
Four Teams Set for 2026 WestStar Don Haskins Sun Bowl Invitation…
WKU Athletics extends contract with Nike, BSN SPORTS
UTEP men’s basketball team hosting open practice on Thursday, Ju…