Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Broncos LMU @ SCU

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

11-7  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 10:00 PM ET
Leavey Center
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

13-5  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
📊
BRONCOS
100%
LIONS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
LionsLMU (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

99.7%

Broncos Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LMU -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)

LMU By 1-7 points

2.2%

LMU By 8-14 points

8.0%

SCU By 1-7 points

0.3%

SCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
95
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
68
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
72
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lions (-11.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 SCU @ LMU 104 - 73
Jan 10, 2026 LMU @ SCU 72 - 103
Feb 20, 2025 LMU @ SCU 61 - 76
Jan 16, 2025 SCU @ LMU 54 - 57
Feb 22, 2024 LMU @ SCU 55 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +27.6% more
Loyola Marymount: 4.9 vs Santa Clara: 3.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Loyola Marymount: 33.7% vs Santa Clara: 32.0%
Assists (L5) +63.0% more
Santa Clara: 17.2 vs Loyola Marymount: 10.5
Steals (L5) +62.3% more
Santa Clara: 10.1 vs Loyola Marymount: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LMU Score 95.0 72
SCU Score 68.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 33.7 39.0 / 29.0
Assists 17.2 / 10.5 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 42.9 47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 83.8 / 72.5 76.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 34.1 46.0 / 33.0
Steals 10.1 / 6.2 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 9.9 7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LMU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LMU
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
LMU
SCU
LMU
ML
44% 15-19
53% 17-15
73% 22-8
50% 16-16
ATS
53% 18-16
47% 15-17
74% 23-8
50% 16-16
TTL
47% 16-18
62% 20-12
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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