MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
7-8 | Road
55
UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
10-5 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
TERRAPINS
100%
BRUINS
0%
TERRAPINS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
MD By 1-7 points
15.3%
MD By 8-14 points
5.8%
UCLA By 1-7 points
26.2%
UCLA By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland
74
MARYLAND
UCLA
81
UCLA
Simulated Score
Maryland
73
MARYLAND
UCLA
78
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
MD @ UCLA
55 - 67
Jan 10, 2025
UCLA @ MD
61 - 79
Dec 22, 2023
MD @ UCLA
69 - 60
Dec 14, 2022
UCLA @ MD
87 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+55.1% more
UCLA: 14.1
vs
Maryland: 9.1
Steals (L5)
+47.9% more
UCLA: 7.6
vs
Maryland: 5.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
UCLA: 47.8%
vs
Maryland: 38.2%
Blocks (L5)
+32.0% more
Maryland: 3.3
vs
UCLA: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MD Score
74.0
55
UCLA Score
81.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.1 / 27.9
29.0 / 18.0
Assists
14.1 / 9.1
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 38.2
43.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 72.1
67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 35.6
29.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.1
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.6
6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
UCLA
Advantage
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
MD
UCLA
MD
ML
67%
24-12
70%
23-10
76%
25-8
67%
22-11
ATS
61%
22-14
64%
21-12
76%
25-8
67%
22-11
TTL
61%
22-14
64%
21-12
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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