ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
10-5 | Road
90
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
10-6 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
RED STORM
0%
BLUEJAYS
100%
RED STORM
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SJU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
SJU By 1-7 points
25.3%
SJU By 8-14 points
26.2%
CREI By 1-7 points
13.7%
CREI By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. John's
73
ST. JOHN'S
Creighton
65
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
St. John's
72
ST. JOHN'S
Creighton
78
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Storm (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
CREI @ SJU
52 - 81
Jan 10, 2026
SJU @ CREI
90 - 73
Mar 15, 2025
CREI @ SJU
66 - 82
Feb 16, 2025
CREI @ SJU
73 - 79
Dec 31, 2024
SJU @ CREI
56 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.8% more
St. John's: 6.0
vs
Creighton: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+40.7% more
St. John's: 8.9
vs
Creighton: 5.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
St. John's: 36.1%
vs
Creighton: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Creighton: 46.5%
vs
St. John's: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJU Score
73.0
90
CREI Score
65.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 36.1
38.0 / 52.0
Assists
14.4 / 14.9
12.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.8 / 6.0
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 43.4
46.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 73.7
85.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 36.8
26.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.3 / 8.9
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 9.7
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
SJU
CREI
SJU
ML
52%
17-16
62%
18-11
70%
21-9
62%
18-11
ATS
58%
19-14
66%
19-10
70%
21-9
62%
18-11
TTL
52%
17-16
59%
17-12
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 Big East Schedule Released: Key M…
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St. John's forward Donnie Freeman to miss next season following …
Feb 14, 2026; Providence, Rhode Island, USA; Providence College …