MISSOURI
TIGERSMIZ
12-3 | Road
69
OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
8-7 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
REBELS
0%
TIGERS
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Ole Miss)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)
MIZ By 1-7 points
4.0%
MIZ By 8-14 points
0.8%
MISS By 1-7 points
13.7%
MISS By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Missouri
65
MISSOURI
Ole Miss
81
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
Missouri
69
MISSOURI
Ole Miss
73
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rebels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rebels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
MIZ @ MISS
69 - 76
Jan 25, 2025
MISS @ MIZ
75 - 83
Mar 2, 2024
MISS @ MIZ
84 - 78
Feb 17, 2024
MIZ @ MISS
76 - 79
Mar 4, 2023
MISS @ MIZ
77 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.2% more
Ole Miss: 4.1
vs
Missouri: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Ole Miss: 76.2%
vs
Missouri: 66.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.7% more
Missouri: 11.5
vs
Ole Miss: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Missouri: 47.5%
vs
Ole Miss: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score
65.0
69
MISS Score
81.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 34.7
41.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.7 / 14.5
15.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.5
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 47.5
43.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 66.9
79.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 31.6
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.0
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 11.5
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.3
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
MIZ
MISS
MIZ
ML
48%
16-17
61%
20-13
52%
17-16
69%
22-10
ATS
61%
20-13
70%
23-10
52%
17-16
69%
22-10
TTL
64%
21-12
79%
26-7
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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