Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Wolverines UTU @ UVU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

9-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 4:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

13-4  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
TRAILBLAZERS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Utah Valley)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

1.8%

Wolverines Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

UTU By 1-7 points

1.4%

UTU By 8-14 points

0.2%

UVU By 1-7 points

6.8%

UVU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
53
UTAH TECH
74
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
69
UTAH TECH
73
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 UVU @ UTU 104 - 101
Feb 12, 2026 UVU @ UTU 77 - 81
Jan 10, 2026 UTU @ UVU 76 - 92
Mar 12, 2025 UTU @ UVU 57 - 74
Feb 20, 2025 UVU @ UTU 79 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.8% more
Utah Valley: 5.3 vs Utah Tech: 3.3
Assists (L5) +33.4% more
Utah Valley: 21.1 vs Utah Tech: 15.8
Turnovers (L5) +30.1% more
Utah Valley: 16.1 vs Utah Tech: 12.4
Rebounding (L5) +29.5% more
Utah Valley: 38.6 vs Utah Tech: 29.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 53.0 76
UVU Score 74.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 37.2 32.0 / 33.0
Assists 21.1 / 15.8 18.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 53.5 / 50.1 50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 68.6 / 76.6 89.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 29.8 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.8 15.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 12.4 14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
UTU
UVU
UTU
ML
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
72% 23-9
62% 21-13
ATS
53% 17-15
65% 22-12
74% 25-9
62% 21-13
TTL
44% 14-18
65% 22-12
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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