VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-22-5 | Road
0
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
21-15-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 9.00 | 0.500 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | 19-3 | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
19-3
9.00
GAA
--
0.500
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
CANUCKS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
17.5%
VAN By 2-3 goals
37.2%
TOR By 1 goal
6.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Toronto
1
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
TOR @ VAN
3 - 2
Jan 10, 2026
VAN @ TOR
0 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
TOR @ VAN
1 - 2
Jan 11, 2025
VAN @ TOR
3 - 0
Jan 20, 2024
TOR @ VAN
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+15.5%
Vancouver: 32.0%
vs
Toronto: 16.5%
Hits (L5)
+13.7% more
Vancouver: 24.2
vs
Toronto: 20.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.6% more
Vancouver: 28.5
vs
Toronto: 24.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.4% more
Toronto: 13.5
vs
Vancouver: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
3.0
0
TOR Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 11.5
20.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
58.2 / 47.7
69.6 / 30.4
Hits
20.9 / 24.2
15.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
16.5 / 32.0
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 28.5
24.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.1
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
VAN
TOR
VAN
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
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