Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jayhawks @ Mountaineers KU @ WVU

KANSAS

JAYHAWKSKU

11-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 12:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

10-5  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
0%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
JAYHAWKS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Kansas)
JayhawksKU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jayhawks Cover

81.6%

Mountaineers Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)

KU By 1-7 points

24.3%

KU By 8-14 points

26.8%

WVU By 1-7 points

12.2%

WVU By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
96
KANSAS
87
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
65
KANSAS
78
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jayhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jayhawks (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 KU @ WVU 75 - 86
Dec 31, 2024 WVU @ KU 62 - 61
Jan 20, 2024 KU @ WVU 85 - 91
Mar 9, 2023 WVU @ KU 61 - 78
Feb 25, 2023 WVU @ KU 74 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +67.0% more
Kansas: 5.9 vs West Virginia: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +13.7% more
Kansas: 39.9 vs West Virginia: 34.5
Assists (L5) +13.6% more
Kansas: 15.2 vs West Virginia: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5) +8.4%
Kansas: 76.5% vs West Virginia: 68.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KU Score 96.0 75
WVU Score 87.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 39.2 42.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.1 / 15.2 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.9 / 5.9 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 48.6 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 76.5 72.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 39.9 38.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.7 2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.0 9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
WVU
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
WVU
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -4.1
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
KU
WVU
KU
ML
63% 22-13
57% 20-15
76% 26-8
68% 21-10
ATS
60% 21-14
49% 17-18
76% 26-8
68% 21-10
TTL
40% 14-21
60% 21-14
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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