NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
15-0 | Road
83
INDIANA
HOOSIERSIU
12-3 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
100%
HOOSIERS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
--
HOOSIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)
NEB By 1-7 points
2.7%
NEB By 8-14 points
0.5%
IU By 1-7 points
10.7%
IU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
79
NEBRASKA
Indiana
97
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Nebraska
71
NEBRASKA
Indiana
78
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoosiers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Hoosiers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
NEB @ IU
83 - 77
Dec 13, 2024
IU @ NEB
68 - 85
Mar 15, 2024
IU @ NEB
66 - 93
Feb 21, 2024
NEB @ IU
85 - 70
Jan 3, 2024
IU @ NEB
70 - 86
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Indiana: 35.5%
vs
Nebraska: 30.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Indiana: 46.7%
vs
Nebraska: 42.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Indiana: 80.9%
vs
Nebraska: 78.4%
Blocks (L5)
+55.6% more
Nebraska: 2.9
vs
Indiana: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
79.0
83
IU Score
97.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 30.2
37.0 / 41.0
Assists
15.2 / 15.6
16.0 / 18.0
Blocks
1.3 / 2.9
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 42.8
46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 78.4
82.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 36.9
31.0 / 31.0
Steals
3.7 / 6.1
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 9.5
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
IU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
IU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
NEB
IU
NEB
ML
66%
21-11
51%
18-17
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
ATS
53%
17-15
54%
19-16
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
TTL
56%
18-14
63%
22-13
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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