Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Golden Grizzlies CLE @ OAK

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

5-11  |  Road

74
FINAL
Fri, Jan 9 • 7:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

8-8  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
VIKINGS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Oakland)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

0.0%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OAK -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

CLE By 1-7 points

0.0%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.0%

OAK By 1-7 points

0.1%

OAK By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
50
CLEVELAND STATE
88
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
74
CLEVELAND STATE
78
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u169.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 OAK @ CLE 78 - 91
Jan 9, 2026 CLE @ OAK 74 - 97
Feb 23, 2025 CLE @ OAK 86 - 91
Dec 19, 2024 OAK @ CLE 75 - 92
Mar 11, 2024 CLE @ OAK 71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +92.1% more
Oakland: 2.9 vs Cleveland State: 1.5
Steals (L5) +81.3% more
Oakland: 6.5 vs Cleveland State: 3.6
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Oakland: 49.5% vs Cleveland State: 44.0%
Turnovers (L5) +29.5% more
Cleveland State: 13.2 vs Oakland: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 50.0 74
OAK Score 88.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 37.2 27.0 / 15.0
Assists 15.5 / 14.8 23.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.9 / 1.5 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 44.0 43.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 79.7 / 80.3 89.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 36.0 52.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.5 / 3.6 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 13.2 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
CLE
OAK
CLE
ML
62% 20-12
52% 17-16
59% 19-13
64% 21-12
ATS
50% 16-16
64% 21-12
59% 19-13
64% 21-12
TTL
62% 20-12
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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