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NORTHERN KENTUCKY

NORSENKU

12-5  |  Road

85
FINAL
Fri, Jan 9 • 8:00 PM ET
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

7-9  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
NORSE
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
NORSE --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Milwaukee)
NorseNKU (-3.5) 0 PanthersMILW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Norse Cover

0.0%

Panthers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MILW -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

NKU By 1-7 points

0.0%

NKU By 8-14 points

0.0%

MILW By 1-7 points

0.5%

MILW By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
50
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
83
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
72
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
75
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 MILW @ NKU 62 - 67
Jan 9, 2026 NKU @ MILW 85 - 67
Feb 16, 2025 NKU @ MILW 70 - 92
Jan 24, 2025 MILW @ NKU 79 - 59
Mar 11, 2024 MILW @ NKU 82 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.4% more
Northern Kentucky: 9.0 vs Milwaukee: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +26.7% more
Northern Kentucky: 2.3 vs Milwaukee: 1.7
Turnovers (L5) +22.4% more
Northern Kentucky: 12.9 vs Milwaukee: 10.0
Assists (L5) +20.0% more
Northern Kentucky: 15.5 vs Milwaukee: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NKU Score 50.0 85
MILW Score 83.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 38.2 25.0 / 36.0
Assists 12.4 / 15.5 11.0 / 19.0
Blocks 1.7 / 2.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 49.3 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 73.3 58.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 36.2 29.0 / 43.0
Steals 4.6 / 9.0 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 12.9 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NKU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NKU Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 5.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +5.4
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
NKU
MILW
NKU
ML
50% 16-16
53% 18-16
69% 22-10
65% 22-12
ATS
47% 15-17
56% 19-15
69% 22-10
65% 22-12
TTL
59% 19-13
68% 23-11
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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