NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
6-9 | Road
47
LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
6-9 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
CHARGERS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Le Moyne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEM -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
NHVN By 1-7 points
6.8%
NHVN By 8-14 points
1.7%
LEM By 1-7 points
18.6%
LEM By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New Haven
56
NEW HAVEN
Le Moyne
69
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
New Haven
68
NEW HAVEN
Le Moyne
72
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
LEM @ NHVN
59 - 66
Jan 8, 2026
NHVN @ LEM
47 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.0% more
Le Moyne: 12.9
vs
New Haven: 10.7
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
Le Moyne: 4.2
vs
New Haven: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Le Moyne: 36.7
vs
New Haven: 31.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Le Moyne: 33.0%
vs
New Haven: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NHVN Score
56.0
47
LEM Score
69.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 30.3
27.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.5 / 13.7
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.5
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 42.6
52.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
62.8 / 65.6
63.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 31.3
37.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.4
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 10.7
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NHVN
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
LEM
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
NHVN
LEM
NHVN
ML
68%
21-10
71%
22-9
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
ATS
65%
20-11
74%
23-8
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
TTL
42%
13-18
42%
13-18
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Kansas Jayhawks Lose RB Yasin Willis Indefinitely, Backfield Dep…
Heat Fill Training Camp Roster with Rookie Signings, Keep Option…
Arizona's Gamble on Clemson Transfer RJ Godfrey Could Pay Off Bi…
Houston Cougars' Re'Shaun Sanford II Overcomes Two ACL Tears to …