CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
21-17 | Road
122
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
24-13 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CAVALIERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CLE By 1-7 points
21.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
10.7%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
114
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
117
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
112
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.5
Loss
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u238.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
MIN @ CLE
134 - 146
Jan 8, 2026
CLE @ MIN
122 - 131
Feb 10, 2025
MIN @ CLE
107 - 128
Jan 18, 2025
CLE @ MIN
124 - 117
Mar 22, 2024
CLE @ MIN
91 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.6% more
Minnesota: 9.1
vs
Cleveland: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
Minnesota: 77.7%
vs
Cleveland: 74.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+24.9% more
Cleveland: 16.9
vs
Minnesota: 12.7
Assists (L5)
+8.5% more
Cleveland: 29.7
vs
Minnesota: 27.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
114.0
122
MIN Score
117.0
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 37.0
53.0 / 33.0
Assists
27.2 / 29.7
33.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.7 / 7.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 50.0
57.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 74.5
53.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
51.4 / 48.1
45.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.1 / 8.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 16.9
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
54%
63-53
60%
69-46
54%
50-43
56%
55-44
ATS
58%
67-49
67%
75-37-3
54%
50-43
56%
55-44
TTL
63%
72-43-1
59%
68-47
100%
93-0
100%
99-0
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