EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
21-16-6 | Road
4
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
15-21-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 4.15 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.15
--
Save %
0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
JETS
0%
OILERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
EDM @ WPG
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 1
Dec 6, 2025
WPG @ EDM
2 - 6
Sep 26, 2025
WPG @ EDM
0 - 4
Sep 23, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+40.2% more
Winnipeg: 22.1
vs
Edmonton: 15.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.3%
Winnipeg: 53.6%
vs
Edmonton: 51.3%
Power Play % (L5)
+39.7%
Edmonton: 48.8%
vs
Winnipeg: 9.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+24.1% more
Edmonton: 5.9
vs
Winnipeg: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
4
WPG Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 16.6
9.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
53.6 / 51.3
47.7 / 52.3
Hits
22.1 / 15.8
24.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
9.1 / 48.8
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 32.6
16.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.9
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
EDM
WPG
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
