DELAWARE
BLUE HENSDEL
5-9 | Road
60
SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
8-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
100%
BEARKATS
0%
BLUE HENS
--
BEARKATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Sam Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHSU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)
DEL By 1-7 points
0.0%
DEL By 8-14 points
0.0%
SHSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
SHSU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware
53
DELAWARE
Sam Houston
90
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Delaware
72
DELAWARE
Sam Houston
75
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearkats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Bearkats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
SHSU @ DEL
80 - 83
Jan 8, 2026
DEL @ SHSU
60 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+44.5% more
Sam Houston: 44.7
vs
Delaware: 31.0
Steals (L5)
+29.2% more
Sam Houston: 8.0
vs
Delaware: 6.2
Assists (L5)
+26.5% more
Sam Houston: 15.4
vs
Delaware: 12.2
Turnovers (L5)
+20.0% more
Sam Houston: 13.5
vs
Delaware: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEL Score
53.0
60
SHSU Score
90.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 33.5
31.0 / 31.0
Assists
15.4 / 12.2
16.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 5.4
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 44.5
38.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 71.3
89.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
44.7 / 31.0
44.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.2
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 11.3
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
DEL
SHSU
DEL
ML
55%
18-15
45%
14-17
74%
23-8
52%
16-15
ATS
64%
21-12
61%
19-12
74%
23-8
52%
16-15
TTL
48%
16-17
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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