Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Pilots PAC @ PORT

PACIFIC

TIGERSPAC

11-6  |  Road

89
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 10:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

7-10  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
PILOTS
0%
TIGERS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Portland)
TigersPAC (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

6.7%

Pilots Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PORT -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)

PAC By 1-7 points

4.8%

PAC By 8-14 points

1.1%

PORT By 1-7 points

15.3%

PORT By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
61
PACIFIC
76
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
68
PACIFIC
75
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pilots Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pilots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pilots (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 PORT @ PAC 51 - 74
Jan 8, 2026 PAC @ PORT 89 - 90
Feb 22, 2025 PORT @ PAC 81 - 73
Jan 16, 2025 PAC @ PORT 81 - 84
Feb 1, 2024 PORT @ PAC 65 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.9% more
Pacific: 7.0 vs Portland: 4.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +19.2%
Pacific: 42.6% vs Portland: 23.4%
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
Pacific: 37.0 vs Portland: 30.3
Turnovers (L5) +11.9% more
Pacific: 15.2 vs Portland: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PAC Score 61.0 89
PORT Score 76.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.4 / 42.6 57.0 / 41.0
Assists 15.8 / 15.9 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.7 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 49.9 47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 74.9 / 75.6 83.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 37.0 34.0 / 39.0
Steals 4.6 / 7.0 1.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 15.2 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +2.0
PORT
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC Advantage
16-14-1 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +2.0
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5% Total +/-: -2.0
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
PAC
PORT
PAC
ML
48% 16-17
45% 15-18
82% 27-6
80% 24-6
ATS
67% 22-11
55% 18-15
82% 28-6
80% 24-6
TTL
55% 18-15
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 6 hours, 2 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 19 hours, 4 minutes ago
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago