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TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

6-9  |  Road

61
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 8:30 PM ET
Groniger Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

4-10  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TENNESSEE TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Tennessee Tech)
Golden EaglesTNTC (-3.5) 0 PanthersEIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

97.1%

Panthers Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TNTC -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TNTC)

TNTC By 1-7 points

9.3%

TNTC By 8-14 points

20.1%

EIU By 1-7 points

2.2%

EIU By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
106
TENNESSEE TECH
87
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
68
TENNESSEE TECH
72
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Eagles (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 EIU @ TNTC 60 - 54
Jan 8, 2026 TNTC @ EIU 61 - 71
Feb 8, 2025 EIU @ TNTC 54 - 59
Jan 9, 2025 TNTC @ EIU 69 - 64
Feb 24, 2024 EIU @ TNTC 67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +12.0% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.8 vs Eastern Illinois: 13.0
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Tennessee Tech: 76.7% vs Eastern Illinois: 71.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Tennessee Tech: 31.8% vs Eastern Illinois: 29.7%
Blocks (L5) +95.4% more
Eastern Illinois: 3.8 vs Tennessee Tech: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score 106.0 61
EIU Score 87.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 31.8 38.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.3 / 13.0 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 1.9 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 41.7 44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 76.7 72.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 36.9 30.0 / 31.0
Steals 10.0 / 6.9 9.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 14.8 8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
EIU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
TNTC
EIU
TNTC
ML
56% 18-14
50% 15-15
74% 23-8
65% 15-8
ATS
50% 16-16
50% 15-15
74% 23-8
65% 15-8
TTL
69% 22-10
57% 17-13
100% 31-0
100% 23-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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