SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
12-5 | Road
55
OREGON STATE
BEAVERSORST
8-9 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
BEAVERS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
BEAVERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-7 points
12.2%
SEA By 8-14 points
23.0%
ORST By 1-7 points
3.3%
ORST By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
78
SEATTLE U
Oregon State
61
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
Seattle U
68
SEATTLE U
Oregon State
72
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Beavers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Beavers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
ORST @ SEA
50 - 60
Jan 8, 2026
SEA @ ORST
55 - 68
Dec 15, 2022
SEA @ ORST
58 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.6% more
Seattle U: 6.0
vs
Oregon State: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+14.1% more
Seattle U: 7.0
vs
Oregon State: 6.0
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
Seattle U: 31.5
vs
Oregon State: 27.1
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Seattle U: 14.7
vs
Oregon State: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
78.0
55
ORST Score
61.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 35.1
33.0 / 23.0
Assists
12.8 / 14.7
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 6.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 41.4
34.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 72.8
79.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
27.1 / 31.5
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.0
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 9.5
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
ORST
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
ORST
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
SEA
ORST
SEA
ML
45%
15-18
46%
16-19
59%
19-13
71%
24-10
ATS
48%
16-17
57%
20-15
59%
19-13
71%
24-10
TTL
55%
18-15
49%
17-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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