Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Tigers HOF @ TOW

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

11-4  |  Road

78
FINAL
Thu, Jan 8 • 12:30 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

8-8  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
PRIDE --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Hofstra)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

84.1%

Tigers Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)

HOF By 1-7 points

23.0%

HOF By 8-14 points

27.2%

TOW By 1-7 points

10.7%

TOW By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
86
HOFSTRA
76
TOWSON
Simulated Score
68
HOFSTRA
72
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pride Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pride (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 TOW @ HOF 65 - 68
Feb 7, 2026 TOW @ HOF 49 - 71
Jan 8, 2026 HOF @ TOW 78 - 67
Jan 16, 2025 HOF @ TOW 60 - 65
Feb 3, 2024 TOW @ HOF 56 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.9% more
Hofstra: 4.1 vs Towson: 3.1
Assists (L5) +19.2% more
Hofstra: 13.1 vs Towson: 10.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +18.8%
Hofstra: 43.2% vs Towson: 24.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +11.8%
Hofstra: 48.9% vs Towson: 37.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 86.0 78
TOW Score 76.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.4 / 43.2 36.0 / 39.0
Assists 10.6 / 13.1 11.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.1 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 37.1 / 48.9 34.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 69.9 / 72.4 76.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 40.7 37.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.3 / 3.6 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 11.1 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
TOW
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
HOF
TOW
HOF
ML
66% 21-11
77% 27-8
62% 20-12
71% 25-10
ATS
66% 21-11
83% 29-6
62% 20-12
71% 25-10
TTL
53% 17-15
51% 18-17
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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