BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
4-11 | Road
55
NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
10-5 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
BISON
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
BUCK By 1-7 points
23.0%
BUCK By 8-14 points
12.2%
NAVY By 1-7 points
26.8%
NAVY By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
62
BUCKNELL
Navy
64
NAVY
Simulated Score
Bucknell
68
BUCKNELL
Navy
72
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
BUCK @ NAVY
69 - 74
Feb 9, 2026
NAVY @ BUCK
76 - 60
Jan 7, 2026
BUCK @ NAVY
55 - 76
Mar 9, 2025
NAVY @ BUCK
83 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
BUCK @ NAVY
85 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+92.6% more
Navy: 3.6
vs
Bucknell: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+16.5% more
Navy: 35.7
vs
Bucknell: 30.7
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Navy: 14.2
vs
Bucknell: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Navy: 80.2%
vs
Bucknell: 71.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
62.0
55
NAVY Score
64.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 29.0
43.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.2 / 12.6
21.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.9
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 38.6
47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 71.5
78.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 30.7
42.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.2 / 9.2
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 14.1
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
BUCK
NAVY
BUCK
ML
79%
26-7
55%
18-15
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
ATS
73%
24-9
45%
15-18
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
TTL
73%
24-9
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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