GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
2-15 | Road
49
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
14-3 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (High Point)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)
GWEB By 1-7 points
23.0%
GWEB By 8-14 points
12.2%
HPU By 1-7 points
26.8%
HPU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Gardner-Webb
72
GARDNER-WEBB
High Point
74
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
Gardner-Webb
70
GARDNER-WEBB
High Point
75
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u163.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
GWEB @ HPU
59 - 81
Feb 14, 2026
HPU @ GWEB
112 - 87
Jan 7, 2026
GWEB @ HPU
49 - 104
Mar 7, 2025
GWEB @ HPU
64 - 85
Feb 22, 2025
HPU @ GWEB
90 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+116.5% more
High Point: 4.7
vs
Gardner-Webb: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+60.5% more
High Point: 16.9
vs
Gardner-Webb: 10.6
Steals (L5)
+45.7% more
High Point: 9.4
vs
Gardner-Webb: 6.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
High Point: 56.8%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score
72.0
49
HPU Score
74.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 33.2
34.0 / 23.0
Assists
16.9 / 10.6
26.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.2
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
56.8 / 43.5
51.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 69.4
77.0 / 33.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 30.1
52.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.4 / 6.5
18.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 10.2
9.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
GWEB
HPU
GWEB
ML
80%
28-7
73%
22-8
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
ATS
71%
25-10
73%
22-8
80%
28-7
63%
19-11
TTL
66%
23-12
53%
16-14
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
