BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
5-10 | Road
83
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
4-11 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
LEOPARDS
100%
TERRIERS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-78.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +78.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BU -78.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
BU By 1-7 points
0.0%
BU By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAF By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
122
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Lafayette
44
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Boston University
68
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Lafayette
73
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terriers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -78.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
LAF @ BU
73 - 77
Jan 7, 2026
BU @ LAF
83 - 67
Mar 1, 2025
LAF @ BU
64 - 66
Jan 2, 2025
BU @ LAF
46 - 60
Jan 27, 2024
BU @ LAF
62 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.2% more
Boston University: 3.1
vs
Lafayette: 1.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Boston University: 70.7%
vs
Lafayette: 64.9%
Assists (L5)
+42.0% more
Lafayette: 15.8
vs
Boston University: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
Lafayette: 34.0
vs
Boston University: 31.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
122.0
83
LAF Score
44.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 37.8
16.0 / 53.0
Assists
15.8 / 11.1
15.0 / 21.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 46.3
46.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
64.9 / 70.7
50.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 31.4
28.0 / 42.0
Steals
4.8 / 4.9
5.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 10.0
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
BU
LAF
BU
ML
53%
17-15
68%
23-11
59%
19-13
62%
21-13
ATS
56%
18-14
62%
21-13
59%
19-13
62%
21-13
TTL
50%
16-16
65%
22-12
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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